Timothy Carter highlights AgMIP Wheat Team study in Nature Climate Change

Oct 1, 2013


Timothy Carter, in his contribution to the September issue of Nature Climate Change, explores the potential of multiple model intercomparisons leading to more reliable projections of future crop yields under the impact of climate change. Carter highlights the work of the AgMIP Wheat Team which has put this theory to the test in a study published in the June 2013 issue of Nature Climate Change, “Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change”, Asseng et, al. The study he notes, “breaks new ground in discriminating between the uncertainties ascribed to crop models and those due to ensemble climate model projections,” adding that this source of uncertainty has been largely missing from IPCC studies to date.

Access the article on the Nature Climate Change site here.

Figure 1 from the paper: Carter, Timothy R. “Agricultural Impacts: Multi-Model Yield Projections.” Nature News, Nature Publishing Group, 28 Aug. 2013, www.nature.com/articles/nclimate1995.