Europe

 

    Main Contact for Initiative

    Ignacio Perez Dominguez

    Brief Description of Activity

    CGRA Europe, discussion stages of different activities, highlighting similarities and differences

    Contributing Institutions

    FACCE JPI, MACSUR, AgMIP EC, JRC, CIRAD, PIK, ZALF, WUR, JHutton ,IIASA

    Stakeholders

    • EU commission,
    • national governments,
    • regional policy makers 

    Noteworthy Findings (discussion points)

    • 5 GCM, 2 clim scen, 6 CMs readily set up for EU-27 on a 25 km grid for further activities
    • JRC study on global shocks impacting European economy
    • Agri-SSP (RAP) development

    Figure: Webber et al. under review

    Papers

    200+ scientific papers published under MACSUR, including Pan-European modelling studies, Policy Briefs

     

    MACSUR Update

      Main Contacts for Initiative  

      Frank Ewert and Heidi Webber

      Brief Description of Activity

      Network of agricultural modelers with ambition to assess climate, socio-economic and technology developments in EU agriculture at both continental scale and in a series of regional case studies. Current plans for a CGRA study to investigate biological potential of new varieties and implications for technology trends in economic studies

      Overview of Participants

      MACSUR members

      Current Research Focus 

      What are the main drivers of climatic variability on EU cereals and how are they projected to change under climate change

      Figure. Drought, continues to drive yield variability. Difference between average level and years with yields in lowest decile of reduced potential relative to baseline levels (green) or losses from drought (blue) for rainfed maize and winter wheat

      Recent Noteworthy Finding

      Our study revealed that drought, not heat stress, will persist as the main driver of yield losses and variability for current maize and winter wheat cropping systems under climate change. Continued use of current varieties will lead to losses in maize and potential gains for winter wheat, with little changes in relative yield variability.